Thunderous-Fillet
0xdf0d0579f8935d735ec6c69b079cb600f909c7be
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-659.29
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
578 shares @ 62.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.84
$17.58
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
384 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$324.12
$-13.42
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
337 shares @ 80.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$307.95
$35.82
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
987 shares @ 25.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$246.16
$-3.83
- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
382 shares @ 52.3¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$229.35
$29.35
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
250 shares @ 72.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.58
$36.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
282 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.96
$-7.04
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$172.68
$22.68
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
211 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$171.29
$4.95
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
388 shares @ 51.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.44
$-46.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$18.50May 17, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$31.07May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$107.82May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$136.44May 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$81.07May 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.92May 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.38May 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.26May 14, 15:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$138.89May 12, 15:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $107.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".