0xdf1f376d05e74121208e2fde615a9c0709ac8538
0xdf1f376d05e74121208e2fde615a9c0709ac8538
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$17.17
Total PnL
$-5.84
Realised
$1.22
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.63
$-1.57
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$-1.60
- YES
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
91 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.59
$0.68
- YES
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$1.12
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.14
$-0.76
- YES
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.72
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
26 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.55
$0.04
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4 shares @ 2.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.34
$0.26
- YES
Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.34
$0.21
- YES
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.19
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe$2.00Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$2.00Apr 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Ricky Simón next?$0.28Apr 5, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$0.65Apr 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$0.25Mar 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Henry Cejudo next?$0.02Mar 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.19Mar 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Payton Talbott next?$0.00Mar 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Hardy announced as next James Bond?$0.82Mar 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Hardy announced as next James Bond?$0.07Mar 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.14Mar 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.04Mar 4, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.01Mar 4, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$0.01Feb 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?$0.12Feb 11, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$13.88Feb 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.40Feb 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.40Feb 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.39Feb 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.18Feb 11, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".