Diligent-Scenario
0xdf273e0fe72a613b27de588aaa5237f3b76ae6e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$166.92
Realised
$52.02
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3600 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$1.20
- NO
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
1262 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$0.87
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
900 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$823.50
$17.43
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
799 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$782.70
$6.52
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
766 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$732.37
$18.56
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
668 shares @ 87.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$608.15
$22.58
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
402 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$381.51
$12.62
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
362 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$352.56
$1.23
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
350 shares @ 84.3¢·now 88.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.39
$15.39
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
340 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$284.11
$5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$67.28May 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$144.81May 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$153.27May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$386.16May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$295.50May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$193.08May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$124.56May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$80.18May 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$158.54May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$35.66May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$197.60May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$94.90May 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.10May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.20May 18, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$1.21May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$39.55May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$29.56May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$31.77May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$38.68May 18, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $113.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".