Ripe-Airplane
0xdf469e055e901312ca32b8e57ecebe4d5f5c3083
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$207.94
Total PnL
$-126.72
Realised
$27.42
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
146 shares @ 47.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$88.97
$20.42
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50 shares @ 69.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.54
$-0.47
- NO
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 58.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$34.19
$11.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 40.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$27.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$17.86
$7.86
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-7.75
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
247 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-15.99
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
103 shares @ 12.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-11.15
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-9.95
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$10.00May 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$5.55May 8, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.37May 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.36May 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$20.46May 6, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00May 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.46May 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.09May 5, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$3.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$5.15May 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$5.00May 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$18.00May 3, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$100.00May 3, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$41.00Apr 28, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.40Apr 27, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$9.98Apr 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$3.60Apr 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$7.00Apr 26, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".