Flawed-Toad
0xdf6c655fabf28fccf1ceb27f612104ddd17ff632
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$117.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
877 shares @ 91.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$871.13
$71.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
521 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$511.73
$11.73
- NO
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$117.65
$17.65
- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
103 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$103.01
$3.01
- NO
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.22
$14.22
- NO
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?
62 shares @ 96.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$58.85
$-1.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$50.84
$0.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.00Mar 31, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$0.00Feb 16, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$219.78Feb 16, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$500.00Feb 5, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valve remove Train from the Map Pool?$0.00Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike ≥7 countries in January 2026?$102.45Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike 6 countries in January 2026?$103.09Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$203.67Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$523.02Feb 5, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$400.00Jan 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$600.00Jan 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$200.00Jan 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike ≥7 countries in January 2026?$100.00Jan 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 6 countries in January 2026?$100.00Jan 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$100.00Jan 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump flip the bird again in 2026?$50.00Jan 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$100.00Jan 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$100.00Jan 14, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $176.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".