Extra-Large-Defeat
0xdf901733630ac14af76494073d91b31c4fae5637
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$389.68
Total PnL
$135.47
Realised
$40.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
453 shares @ 38.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$267.05
$95.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
350 shares @ 17.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.19
$1.19
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.63
$-0.38
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.77
$1.77
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$1.25
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.90
$0.90
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
29 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.63
$0.72
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$3.00May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50.00May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$58.19May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$15.00May 14, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$15.00May 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$172.00May 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$5.00May 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00May 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.94May 13, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$247.69May 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$161.00May 11, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $37.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".