Crafty-Ordination
0xdfca4ee98374f62a1d4985ac9272260e09ba645a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.18
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-132.73
Win rate
25%
72 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
916 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.82
$-17.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
282 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.36
$4.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
46341 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-159.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 14?
44506 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-65.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
14782 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
4210 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-77.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
4078 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-78.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
3675 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-58.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 14?
2616 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
2400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.07May 18, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.06May 18, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.62May 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.72May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.88May 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.75May 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.60May 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.60May 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.66May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.66May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.74May 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.73May 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.84May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.76May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.78May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.84May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.60May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.60May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.02May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.40May 18, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 72 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".