Flustered-Improvement
0xdfe3fedc5c7679be42c3d393e99d4b55247b73c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$430.4K
Total PnL
$-123.0K
Realised
$8.9K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
183112 shares @ 61.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.7K
$42.0K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
106777 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.4K
$10.1K
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
87047 shares @ 60.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.1K
$20.6K
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
20000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.6K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23539 shares @ 73.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.2K
$988.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.6K
$-350.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
16078 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.6K
$241.17
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
10107 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.7K
$1.6K
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
9938 shares @ 70.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.7K
$692.01
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
5359 shares @ 78.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.3K
$1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$10.00May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$12.42May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$200.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$7.00May 18, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$22.32May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$87.00May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.00May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00May 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.21May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$30.00May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.35May 17, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $179.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".