Scarce-Crib
0xdfe9d215074887caaf0fe9ab31661451b6478008
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$116.16
Total PnL
$-111.87
Realised
$13.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1832 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$46.53
$-15.96
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2677 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.74
$-5.26
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
970 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.06
$4.06
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1529 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.99
$-29.00
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.93
$-6.07
- YES
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
216 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.57
$-2.03
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.33
$-1.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
110 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.60Apr 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.06Apr 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$0.13Apr 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.91Apr 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.27Apr 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$6.80Apr 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Apr 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.44Apr 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.00Apr 11, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.08Apr 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$3.08Apr 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.68Apr 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2.68Apr 11, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.86Apr 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.86Apr 11, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Apr 7, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Apr 5, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Apr 5, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".