Ragged-Placode
0xdfee1d79b4384ca40109c87c8b5027df33a364bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$36.3K
Total PnL
$6.3K
Realised
$4.7K
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9241 shares @ 49.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.6K
$3.0K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6536 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.9K
$493.05
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6041 shares @ 85.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$189.57
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
3592 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$549.54
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
3840 shares @ 70.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$513.96
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2029 shares @ 61.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$610.97
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
1608 shares @ 48.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$685.05
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1540 shares @ 60.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$397.32
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1032 shares @ 48.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$985.68
$485.68
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
1006 shares @ 67.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$860.04
$177.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$12.70May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$25.63May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$19.48May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$11.79May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$69.27May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$158.33May 18, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.43May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$57.63May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$20.01May 17, 15:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.02May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$190.00May 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$35.49May 16, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?$905.25May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$4.75May 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$1.9KMay 16, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$28.56May 16, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $130.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".