Disastrous-Bend
0xe000e1dd06d3d17dc943dc9215a2e166efd5cbb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$-502.89
Win rate
58%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
1230 shares @ 68.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$842.27
$-1.92
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
2488 shares @ 68.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$634.48
$-1.1K
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1841 shares @ 53.6¢·now 30.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.19
$-432.29
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
3919 shares @ 36.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$548.67
$-873.46
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4300 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.37
$-97.13
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2002 shares @ 16.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.27
$-56.17
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
2835 shares @ 23.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$269.36
$-409.92
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
864 shares @ 48.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$246.19
$-170.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
710 shares @ 63.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$202.41
$-245.58
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
534 shares @ 53.3¢·now 35.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.73
$-94.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$5.60May 16, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$8.40May 16, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$7.30May 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$1.12May 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$8.70May 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$8.70May 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$3.60May 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$4.48May 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$3.92May 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$1.68May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$0.26May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$8.44May 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$0.27May 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$5.73May 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$3.87May 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$2.13May 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$6.00May 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$8.70May 16, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".