Sociable-Product
0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$6.9K
Realised
$28.4K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
223114 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.7K
$-4.9K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
1405 shares @ 49.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$578.92
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
13039 shares @ 5.4¢·now 9.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$517.26
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
3785 shares @ 2.9¢·now 17.6¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$666.10
$555.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
41989 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$482.87
$-983.93
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 15.2¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.64
$219.70
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4308 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$131.39
$3.84
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
1363 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.47
$-143.09
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
173 shares @ 63.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$91.91
$-17.28
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$30.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$17.67May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.23May 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.10May 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$13.34May 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$4.87May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$176.12May 14, 13:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.61May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$100.77May 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$79.30May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.70May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.05May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.70May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.05May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.41May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.05May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.70May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.05May 12, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".