Lopsided-Promotion
0xe0414cedf6af8ba4b9f2cfb857eca11ce588be79
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-208.14
Realised
$-3.71
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
267 shares @ 83.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$227.06
$5.06
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$101.85
$1.84
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
105 shares @ 94.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$101.24
$2.24
- NO
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$100.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.64
$-0.36
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.39
$-1.61
- NO
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?
103 shares @ 97.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.01
$-2.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?
106 shares @ 94.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
105 shares @ 94.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.39
$-3.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$99.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Hunter/Pegula vs Andreeva/Shnaider$0.00May 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.74May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?$49.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$70.00May 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$118.55May 17, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$122.00May 17, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$120.63May 17, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Hunter/Pegula vs Andreeva/Shnaider$102.52May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$104.23May 16, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$18.28May 16, 10:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$101.08May 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$118.71May 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$101.25May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$101.54May 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$96.23May 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$100.81May 15, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $92.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".