Bland-Toughguy
0xe0c5e955572d182dd38cf3eddb9700c099b9913c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$233.78
Total PnL
$-723.39
Realised
$194.63
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
827 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.06
$12.40
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.30
$-8.40
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 7.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-1.69
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
200 shares @ 26.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.68
$-43.32
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.33
$-5.00
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$1.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$0.04
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.35
$-3.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
130000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.30May 10, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$2.51May 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$4.13May 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$5.49May 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.32May 10, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$4.50May 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1.04May 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1.95May 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$15.46May 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.26May 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$173.66May 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$35.15May 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$14.12May 10, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$5.85May 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$13.00May 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.01May 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.83May 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.53May 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.53May 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.26May 10, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".