Solid-Porcelain
0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$65.6K
Total PnL
$-24.8K
Realised
$213.12
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
17772 shares @ 86.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.1K
$690.79
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17175 shares @ 72.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.9K
$-528.70
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
14807 shares @ 47.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$393.69
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 13.3¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.4K
$5.1K
- OVER
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
6000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.0K
$3.2K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$142.50
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3600 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$54.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2812 shares @ 48.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$563.41
- NO
Another Canada election called by June 30?
1680 shares @ 74.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$402.60
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$995.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$6.0KMay 18, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$6.0KMay 18, 02:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$26.61May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$6.0KMay 18, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.10May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMLas Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream$6.0KMay 17, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?$6.0KMay 17, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?$6.0KMay 17, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$6.0KMay 17, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$6.0KMay 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$3.1KMay 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$210.64May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$54.15May 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$156.00May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$520.00May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$13.00May 17, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$650.00May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$2.60May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$16.17May 17, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $975.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".