Harsh-Counterpart
0xe106e7c03bcb605f9a01ec6de6007cb0554892c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$65.63
Total PnL
$-25.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
653 shares @ 2.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.41
$31.36
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
144 shares @ 3.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.01
$4.54
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.24
$0.20
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$-0.85
- NO
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.05
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.07
$0.02
- NO
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.07
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.07
$0.02
- NO
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.06
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$1.45May 2, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)$1.02May 2, 11:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 1?$5.00May 1, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".