Rubbery-Festival
0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-619.04
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3867 shares @ 82.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.8K
$-332.71
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
1425 shares @ 85.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.2K
$9.69
- YES
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?
775 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$728.83
$11.60
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
810 shares @ 85.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$700.65
$8.15
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$475.00
$25.00
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$322.50
$-87.50
- YES
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
400 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$292.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$271.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
300 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$241.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
210 shares @ 88.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$194.25
$8.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.65May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$44.95May 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?$135.00May 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$62.75May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$30.00May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$40.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$178.00May 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$69.70May 17, 03:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$284.00May 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$47.30May 16, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$8.60May 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$15.46May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$265.10May 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$7.50May 16, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$7.00May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$5.18May 16, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.28May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.25May 16, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $84.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".