Dull-Porcelain
0xe136a2d7545d8f4fad32e637f516ce6bf9a082e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$670.20
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-29.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
201 shares @ 56.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$133.96
$19.96
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.00
$12.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
145 shares @ 54.3¢·now 68.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.38
$20.44
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
278 shares @ 36.4¢·now 32.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$91.15
$-10.04
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 71.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.47
$14.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.66
$0.66
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
105 shares @ 71.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.11
$-41.89
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.51
$-29.50
- NO
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
52 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.22
$-0.78
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.72
$-11.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$27.12May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$82.28May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$80.33May 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$102.85May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$142.80May 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$56.44May 16, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$103.51May 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$50.00May 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$105.00May 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$107.96May 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$69.09May 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$26.18May 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$52.43May 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$102.48May 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$61.98May 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$4.50May 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.17May 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$7.19May 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.15May 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$87.15May 9, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $45.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".