Winding-Hardboard
0xe13aeb88f81109fa4137f5bb50e8fb73d134ee7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.5K
Total PnL
$-638.62
Realised
$125.45
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
9800 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.7K
$151.90
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7507 shares @ 90.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$213.95
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
3529 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$86.45
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1137 shares @ 87.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$29.09
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
773 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$707.19
$65.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
499 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$492.22
$42.70
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
634 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.70
$-50.70
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
302 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.06
$-28.24
- YES
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
2000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.77May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.5KMay 3, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$900.00May 3, 16:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.54May 3, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.87May 2, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $10.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".