0xe1529bde63370978a824a39b8c44635f615b586d
0xe1529bde63370978a824a39b8c44635f615b586d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
84
Open notional
$394.11
Total PnL
$-212.53
Realised
$-24.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2278 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$69.49
$3.52
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
114 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.94
$7.44
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
69 shares @ 56.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.76
$2.76
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
682 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.07
$1.27
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 39.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.23
$16.23
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.35
$0.53
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.30
$9.30
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
18 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.28
$1.78
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
28 shares @ 32.5¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.75
$0.75
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 49.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.79
$1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.55May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.54May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.55May 17, 09:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.55May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.55May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.51May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.54May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.54May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.54May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.55May 16, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$55.03May 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.50May 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.55May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.55May 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.51May 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$17.53May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$1.53May 15, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".