Key-Acrylic
0xe196f409e71330371e9b9b7a4e09596ac04a0ab5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$59.5K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$8.86
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
47955 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.5K
$5.5K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
47955 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.5K
$-5.5K
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1741 shares @ 73.4¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$179.57
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
1511 shares @ 75.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.3K
$170.33
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
1282 shares @ 36.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$993.86
$521.49
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
643 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$600.84
$99.52
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
667 shares @ 36.0¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$467.68
$227.39
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
462 shares @ 52.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$451.45
$210.49
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$425.00
$145.50
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
460 shares @ 37.4¢·now 87.2¢·exp May 28, 2026$400.92
$228.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.26May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.26May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reilac Shiga win on 2026-04-05?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 54m and 58m?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$0.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".