Spirited-Motorcar
0xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$54.5K
Total PnL
$6.6K
Realised
$703.97
Win rate
58%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.2K
$4.7K
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
5780 shares @ 10.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.4K
$4.8K
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3917 shares @ 66.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$867.69
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$555.53
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-4.7K
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
2076 shares @ 88.2¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$70.72
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5832 shares @ 40.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.7K
$-650.22
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
1540 shares @ 93.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.5K
$86.12
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1500 shares @ 41.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$809.25
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
1500 shares @ 75.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.3K
$203.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$2.83May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$1.82May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$5.55May 18, 04:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.74May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.64May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$7.91May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$742.94May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$74.37May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$21.56May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.00May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$10.00May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.80May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.56May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.84May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.50May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.16May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.53May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.20May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$16.66May 17, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $93.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".