Fat-Disengagement
0xe1b5920c9d192a7cb74887529ea6caa640928378
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$63.82
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.50
$27.50
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?
880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.32
$0.44
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-570.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-360.00
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
5000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
3800 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-242.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?
3232 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-55.36
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
3200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-256.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?$0.12May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?$0.71May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$1.5KMay 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$6.00May 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$5.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$2.10May 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$35.00May 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.00May 11, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$8.27Mar 29, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$20.70Mar 29, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$20.70Mar 29, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$13.65Mar 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.30Mar 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$12.86Mar 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.54Mar 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.03Mar 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.03Mar 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$0.75Mar 28, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $59.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".