Royal-Wren
0xe1f67d0038506588b7ba291fcaf6900da924595c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-140.79
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- HC SOCHI
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
734 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$734.00
$378.74
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
545 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$545.00
$0.54
- NO
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
804 shares @ 38.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$397.98
$92.46
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
366 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$366.00
$55.27
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
78 shares @ 85.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$55.38
$-10.92
- YES
Revolut IPO before 2027?
614 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.05
$-27.63
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
223 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.88
$1.11
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.11
$14.01
- YES
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.25
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
681 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$1.26Apr 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$10.26Apr 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$228.37Apr 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$355.26Apr 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$305.52Apr 23, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.39Apr 8, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$82.16Apr 8, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$0.78Apr 8, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$74.08Apr 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$1.32Apr 7, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$95.40Apr 7, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-04-18?$1.4KMar 31, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$193.14Mar 31, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$262.74Mar 31, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$1.2KMar 30, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$37.44Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$41.76Mar 30, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$1.2KMar 30, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$26.76Mar 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-04-18?$713.46Mar 30, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $243.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".