Unwilling-Refuge
0xe21e368d0649351a08e0fba98ad7a9392d887d97
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$38.03
Total PnL
$3.45
Realised
$4.16
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Mexico" during the next White House Press Briefing?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.95
$1.45
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Democrat" 3+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$1.25
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Spanish" during the next White House Press Briefing?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.21
$1.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.92
$0.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.43
$1.43
- NO
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.07
$-0.43
- YES
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
21 shares @ 4.9¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
15 shares @ 1.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.70
$1.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
15 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.62
$1.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
15 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.56
$1.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the White House Press Secretary say "Spanish" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.25May 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$4.95May 17, 20:35 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.00May 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House Press Secretary say "Democrat" 3+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.45May 17, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:29 UTC
- SPLITWill Trump say "Cat" in May?$5.00May 16, 15:13 UTC
- SPLITWill the White House Press Secretary say "Spanish" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00May 16, 14:55 UTC
- SPLITWill the White House Press Secretary say "Democrat" 3+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00May 16, 14:55 UTC
- SPLITWill the White House Press Secretary say "Mexico" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00May 16, 14:54 UTC
- SPLITWill the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00May 16, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".