Dark-Resemblance
0xe243070d11670abc32aac7125cb7abaf39a279f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$124.98
Total PnL
$-88.59
Realised
$-21.65
Win rate
55%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
813 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.58
$-8.99
- YES
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
18 shares @ 1.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.54
$17.31
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
329 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.37
$-5.19
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
203 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.15
$-2.47
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
103 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.12
$-0.26
- YES
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
124 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.23
$-0.52
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
87 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.26
$-1.71
- YES
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
247 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-1.43
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
196 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-6.86
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.14
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.20May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$0.32May 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 18, 02:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.05May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.57May 17, 12:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.01May 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.12May 16, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$0.83May 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.96May 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00May 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLJannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.50May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLJannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.55May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$0.17May 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.87May 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.05May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$1.05May 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.28May 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.12May 16, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".