Alienated-Dawn
0xe25ed4763c2099b6bff403286e3929d2cad13f31
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$823.52
Total PnL
$128.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
267 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$254.27
$54.27
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.37
$34.38
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 68.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.75
$17.75
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
151 shares @ 66.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.66
$8.66
- NO
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$76.52
$-23.48
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
116 shares @ 42.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.12
$25.12
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 23.4¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.84
$18.84
- NO
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
73 shares @ 48.1¢·now 38.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$27.99
$-7.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?$35.00May 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$100.00May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$95.69May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$100.00May 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$100.00May 12, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$44.12May 1, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$89.48Apr 25, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in any European country by December 31?$50.00Apr 22, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$50.00Apr 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMNATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Jordan in March?$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Jordan in March?$0.00Apr 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?$0.00Apr 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMNATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?$0.00Apr 5, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $34.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".