Gullible-Advocate
0xe299b3d72a66566c1c1f3f3dd189c815a6d86f4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$14.31
Total PnL
$-91.00
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$3.84
$-1.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
25 shares @ 19.6¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$-2.16
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
35 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.27
$0.07
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
2 shares @ 47.2¢·now 24.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.10
$-1.44
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
James Comey arrested by April 29?
116 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$5.12May 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.42May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$1.23May 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.64May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.13May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.89May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.15May 17, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.39May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$25.00May 17, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$69.59May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$11.31May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.88May 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-16?$1.03May 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?$1.41May 16, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".