Sophisticated-Turmeric-Rail
0xe2f1cd665259e3d6ce636700df4c6ed6789418dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$21.46
Total PnL
$-40.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 30.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.16
$1.16
- NO
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-0.60
- YES
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- YES
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.66
$-0.83
- YES
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$0.05May 17, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.98May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$0.81May 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.69May 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$0.60May 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$0.47May 11, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$0.13May 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0.01May 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0.07May 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0.15May 11, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00May 11, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.34May 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$0.15May 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$0.13May 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0.79May 10, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.92May 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.11May 10, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".