Incomparable-Beastie
0xe3ea47af4dd56f7400fa7cfb598c5f0ef9790e48
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$8.65
Total PnL
$-23.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 71.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 39.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-1.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.42May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.54Apr 30, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.45Apr 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 7, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$0.80Apr 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$1.00Apr 3, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court vacancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00Apr 1, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.33Apr 1, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?$1.00Mar 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.37Mar 23, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 21, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Mar 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.68Mar 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$1.00Mar 10, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".