Attached-Donor
0xe423f6ee6cd16e715fcca7d8ed0ffdf79ed02492
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$87.70
Total PnL
$-206.94
Realised
$62.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.25
$-3.25
- NO
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$20.00
$13.00
- NO
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.70
$-6.30
- NO
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?
40 shares @ 47.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.80
$-9.20
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
26 shares @ 34.2¢·now 35.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.31
$0.28
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-0.36
- YES
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.05
$-0.57
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
- DOWN
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 27?
206 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.34
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?
137 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-68.17
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.70May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$52.00May 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$19.00May 15, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?$25.50May 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$25.00May 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$25.50May 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$7.00May 15, 12:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.72May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.16May 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$17.00May 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$13.84May 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$33.55May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.37May 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.01May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$82.97May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".