Creepy-Grade
0xe442f7c55e3ef842c540629bc48a57ea0470b87b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$104.87
Total PnL
$-27.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
11 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
11 shares @ 96.9¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
13 shares @ 98.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.94
$-3.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
8 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.11
$0.11
- NO
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$7.11
$0.01
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$5.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?$2.00May 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$3.01May 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?$5.01May 11, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on May 12?$3.01May 11, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?$5.01May 11, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$8.01May 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.00May 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.00May 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$10.01May 11, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$15.31May 11, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$31.03May 11, 15:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$3.09Apr 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$13.00Apr 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$15.00Apr 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$31.00Apr 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.50Apr 27, 15:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".