Modest-Incandescence
0xe47c77125edfc41d1a80261736b9abbcfd57642a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$88.95
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
4095 shares @ 58.4¢·now 31.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
6037 shares @ 37.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$754.61
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
7202 shares @ 20.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$324.10
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
5524 shares @ 13.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$303.81
$-424.16
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.00
$77.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
344 shares @ 43.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.37
$-34.62
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
127 shares @ 55.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.03
$37.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 70.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.50
$-21.74
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
52 shares @ 95.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 09:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.5KMay 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$33.60May 15, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?$60.06May 14, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?$100.20May 14, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 14, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?$100.01May 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?$60.00May 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$999.00May 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$998.00May 13, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$5.00May 13, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $444.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".