Hideous-Rethinking
0xe48a44163508399fcbb54e1f0861e66593cf86c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$550.12
Total PnL
$-16.68
Realised
$-3.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
574 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$549.71
$-0.29
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-2.60
- NO
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-10.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$550.92May 17, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$5.71May 17, 13:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Feb 13, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.7KFeb 12, 16:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Feb 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.8KFeb 11, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Avalanche$7.46Feb 11, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Avalanche$5.00Jan 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$4.00Jan 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by June 30?$3.00Jan 19, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$17.44Jan 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$15.00Sep 19, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$3.80Sep 19, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Skenes be the National League starting pitcher for the 2025 MLB All-Star Game?$6.00Sep 19, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Skenes be the National League starting pitcher for the 2025 MLB All-Star Game?$3.00Jul 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$3.00Jul 2, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.00Jul 2, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Feb 25, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 25, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $256.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".