Growling-Insectarium
0xe495f596819a0554bd35cfa548ce5de04b01c165
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$41.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
647 shares @ 77.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$498.54
$-1.46
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$410.00
$-19.57
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$188.00
$28.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
822 shares @ 12.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$131.47
$31.47
- YES
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 53.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$2.63
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
9 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.61
$0.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$505.69May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$0.92May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?$441.82May 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$104.39May 15, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by February 28?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $144.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".