Crowded-Treasure
0xe4a28e00b84beebd50de458e868686354dd236f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.8K
Total PnL
$-31.1K
Realised
$-90.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
5000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$187.50
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$113.75
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
2500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.2K
$-12.50
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$933.50
$43.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$674.98
$-344.99
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.00
$-142.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$142.50
$-307.50
- NO
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
101 shares @ 97.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$96.80
$-1.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
4000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$54.00
$-666.00
- NO
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.07
$0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.0KMay 2, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.0KMay 2, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$25.0KMay 2, 09:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".