Those-Horseradish
0xe4c56591cc2bc8d492139651ca9763103877dcb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$750.86
Total PnL
$-301.68
Realised
$-2.90
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
614 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$614.00
$300.86
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
373 shares @ 40.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$117.50
$-31.70
- YES
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?
81 shares @ 46.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.22
$-25.25
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.68
$1.24
- YES
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
2 shares @ 1.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$1.97
- NO
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 40.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.60
$0.20
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.58
$0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.00
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?$21.00Apr 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?$22.50Apr 24, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$313.14Apr 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$419.49Apr 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$2.75Apr 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$146.25Apr 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$337.85Apr 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$424.80Apr 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$253.31Apr 11, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$52.72Apr 11, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?$0.55Apr 10, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 10, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$242.00Apr 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$83.60Apr 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$150.28Apr 9, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$37.06Apr 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$55.93Apr 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$124.10Apr 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$39.36Apr 9, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$84.55Apr 8, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $187.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".