True-Parallelogram
0xe54b29efaff2651b3140a88eeaa02acfcc60aa14
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$-122.79
Realised
$65.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
6040 shares @ 92.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.5K
$-124.45
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
5813 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.4K
$-17.19
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
2320 shares @ 87.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.1K
$49.79
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
2143 shares @ 87.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.9K
$-22.53
- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?
790 shares @ 95.9¢·now 92.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$729.08
$-28.32
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
470 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$455.96
$8.98
- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?
166 shares @ 88.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.75
$4.73
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
251 shares @ 86.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$148.13
$-67.91
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
183 shares @ 73.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$139.95
$5.05
- NO
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
114 shares @ 87.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.95
$-3.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$399.49May 18, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$400.00May 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.4KMay 17, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$4.43May 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$128.80May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$22.29May 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$1.0KMay 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$595.63May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$15.74May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$57.00May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$398.85May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$53.00May 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$571.22May 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$3.04May 17, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.3KMay 17, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$96.46May 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$71.17May 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$25.21May 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$50.22May 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$50.08May 10, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $194.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".