Frightened-Deduction
0xe55ae7c546fe8e4b9bb01857d900be3afe38deda
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$179.06
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 18 above $7.00?
90 shares @ 99.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$83.19
$-6.81
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $120?
80 shares @ 99.9¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$76.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$19.87
$-0.13
- EXECRATION
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)
5500 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- TEAM WE
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-18.40
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- EDWARD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $120?$80.00May 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 18 above $7.00?$90.00May 18, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $8.50?$170.00May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $8.50?$169.83May 12, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?$6.01May 9, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above $70?$66.23May 9, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?$100.00May 9, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above $70?$66.00May 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?$6.00May 5, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?$99.90May 3, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $170?$5.00May 3, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 27 above $50?$166.41May 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 27 above $50?$166.00Apr 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $170?$5.00Apr 29, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$170.19Apr 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$100.00Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$70.00Apr 19, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$127.13Apr 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$127.00Apr 14, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $150?$72.14Apr 14, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $79.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".