Big-Hearted-Shaker
0xe5c20ffb947f3e12b43e8d472105d9fbf5772b81
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-349.72
Realised
$56.39
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
250 shares @ 88.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.95
$24.97
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
84 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.56
$1.24
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
58 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.65
$0.41
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
56 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.40
$8.40
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
54 shares @ 69.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.45
$11.75
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
44 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.79
$1.09
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$41.34
$-0.74
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 89.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
36 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.38
$3.92
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 87.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.07
$0.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$7.78May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$30.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$20.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?$11.99May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$7.19May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?$4.99May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?$9.97May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$13.32May 17, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 16?$5.01May 17, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?$20.00May 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 17?$9.98May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 17?$18.96May 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.92May 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$15.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$25.00May 17, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.27May 16, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".