Marvelous-Overcharge
0xe6139ad65fb33a4a11263b6e5b29729e531255e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$388.80
Total PnL
$72.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
430 shares @ 56.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$388.80
$148.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
10300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.30
- YES
Will Solana dip to $140 on August 18–24?
10258 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4900 on August 28 at 4PM ET?
5100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-50.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$810.44May 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$809.63Apr 17, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.55Apr 14, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$238.04Apr 14, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$1.1KApr 7, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$1.0KMar 27, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.0KMar 27, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.0KFeb 21, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$500.50Feb 21, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$533.56Feb 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$533.03Feb 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$500.00Feb 17, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.0KFeb 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.0KFeb 4, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.0KFeb 4, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$517.35Jan 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$500.00Jan 17, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.0KJan 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.0KJan 14, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.0KJan 14, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $427.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".