Sugary-Relay
0xe63389f0f1882942bfa1b211027cb0f9a77bc0fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$73.14
Realised
$85.51
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
448 shares @ 82.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.22
$10.71
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
320 shares @ 78.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$299.04
$48.04
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 89.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.70
$-1.90
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
274 shares @ 62.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.98
$-17.06
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.50
$-8.50
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
24 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.95
$-0.47
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-21.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$17.60May 11, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$170.00May 8, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$186.00May 4, 05:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $109.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".