Trained-Allegation
0xe649b94116799e0bd48063d18dd787aed99542c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$451.20
Total PnL
$-80.02
Realised
$58.81
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1114 shares @ 46.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$406.58
$-109.11
- YES
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
92 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.20
$-19.77
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
15 shares @ 59.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.41
$0.65
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$4.50
- YES
Becca Good charged by March 31?
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$27.51Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$18.70Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$22.16Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$23.31Jan 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$18.76Jan 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$28.84Jan 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$38.02Jan 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$28.93Jan 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$17.58Jan 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$20.00Jan 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$32.43Jan 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$16.40Jan 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$22.84Jan 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$30.15Jan 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$22.36Jan 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$38.71Jan 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$17.67Jan 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$21.90Jan 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$35.64Jan 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$31.50Jan 18, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".