Surprised-Instrument
0xe699f5ceb43bd659909e4ae8047d0d14a0ca8dc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$353.12
Total PnL
$-16.0K
Realised
$-18.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
22250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$300.37
$-99.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
555 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.75
$-8.33
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
98907 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
11069 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-563.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
10849 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-620.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
8353 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
8234 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-936.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
6635 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-354.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
5497 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-769.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
4937 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-519.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.18May 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.15May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$14.09May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.01May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.19May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.20May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$26.24May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$26.18May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$26.15May 17, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".