Timely-Deal
0xe69c3cb0e5661e29008e2ac1292f561766c5c699
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$63.83
Total PnL
$-2.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.15
$0.05
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$4.79
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.71
$0.11
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$0.56
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.96
$0.06
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.57
$0.17
- NO
Waymo IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.56
$0.26
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.46
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.74May 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.01May 14, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$2.23May 11, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$2.59May 11, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.09May 11, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by May 15?$5.67May 11, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.81May 11, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$5.12May 11, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$2.46Apr 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by May 15?$5.27Apr 19, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$3.90Apr 18, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.45Apr 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?$4.11Apr 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$2.13Apr 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.50Apr 13, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2.04Apr 8, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$3.40Apr 8, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2.00Apr 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 6, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.35Apr 5, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $116.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".