Earnest-Signup
0xe6c2f9a87392b2af5b95d8e4bac6653a459b7f19
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-707.73
Realised
$-95.14
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
908 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$685.54
$104.42
- NO
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
632 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 23, 2026$601.66
$45.50
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?
601 shares @ 71.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$601.00
$173.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
56 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$55.74
$5.02
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$36.54
$-13.34
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
175 shares @ 19.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.69
$-28.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3AM ET
900 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-566.99
- YES
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
681 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-149.82
- YES
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?
311 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-174.16
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?
13 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$8.06Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$349.67Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$542.25Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$589.44Apr 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?$427.91Apr 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$292.60Apr 9, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$819.54Apr 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$227.20Apr 9, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$300.96Apr 9, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$149.82Apr 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$33.95Apr 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$244.92Apr 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$643.47Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$432.00Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the next White House Press Briefing?$942.00Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$373.62Apr 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$556.16Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$386.24Mar 17, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the next White House Press Briefing?$668.82Mar 17, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$49.88Mar 17, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $254.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".