0xe6c4e8508d6ebc4646ecea02ce781c44257d4c8b
0xe6c4e8508d6ebc4646ecea02ce781c44257d4c8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-613.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 34.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$915.00
$-129.61
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2334 shares @ 45.6¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$823.93
$-239.66
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
6500 shares @ 12.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$617.50
$-167.50
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1400 shares @ 43.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$567.00
$-45.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
6448 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$299.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
3700 shares @ 10.6¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.75
$-178.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
754 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.97
$-41.48
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
2000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
1795 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-174.62
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
1600 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-432.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$300.00May 16, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$225.00May 15, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.1KMay 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$2.4KMay 12, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$30.33May 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$240.00May 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$221.67May 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$360.00May 5, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$102.00May 5, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$330.00May 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$693.00Apr 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$58.29Apr 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.07Apr 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.32Apr 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$88.80Apr 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$167.52Apr 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$615.16Apr 19, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?$14.08Apr 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?$16.00Apr 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?$1.92Apr 17, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $337.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".