Tired-Sleet
0xe6cc698df99befadcd3e7faf7410df6e84a2103b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.83
Total PnL
$-33.83
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.74
$2.74
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
357 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.39
$-2.61
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.21
$-1.79
- NO
Will Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- OVER
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
49 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.82
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
40 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.67May 17, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$1.03May 17, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$1.03May 17, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Child" during Bret Baier interview?$32.39May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?$2.07May 15, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Child" during Bret Baier interview?$10.28May 15, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.37May 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$42.72May 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.44May 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.33May 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.16May 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$50.25May 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.14May 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.49May 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.17May 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.14May 13, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".