Long-Term-Wastebasket
0xe6d6287af91d23768d69641f9ae7aa1e840358f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$286.21
Total PnL
$-140.78
Realised
$126.94
Win rate
97%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2024 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.16
$-6.84
- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2750 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.62
$-5.37
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
64 shares @ 15.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
153 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
320 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
381 shares @ 5.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.81
$-12.18
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
113 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.39
$0.39
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
701 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.36
$0.35
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
27 shares @ 19.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.30
$2.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$1.68May 18, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$7.14May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.49May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$6.17May 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$10.25May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.49May 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.85May 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$0.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate Diaz fight Conor McGregor next?$0.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate Diaz fight Conor McGregor next?$0.00May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$0.99May 17, 04:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$6.24May 16, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Diaz fight Conor McGregor next?$6.17May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 16, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?$0.00May 16, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".