Honorable-Cake
0xe6de18098994a5f7c43e05d72a537d8004d58d6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$904.66
Total PnL
$-736.73
Realised
$1.28
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$590.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.75
$0.28
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.55
$-0.12
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.91
$-1.36
- NO
Will Gina Viola finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
20 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.94
$0.60
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.16
$16.49
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.52
$-0.63
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.52
$-0.63
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.66
$14.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$591.00May 18, 06:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.95May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.00May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$499.50May 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$99.90May 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?$18.96May 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.96May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$498.50May 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeyson Lopez advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$2.40May 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$1.54May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$1.20May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$0.40May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.02May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.79May 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$18.00May 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monica Rodriguez finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.26May 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$18.84May 15, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $147.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".